Euro 2024 semifinal live updates: England 1-1 Netherlands. Odds, head-to-head and match facts

Find out all the details about the second semifinal of Euro 2024 as England and the Netherlands battle it out for a place in the final against Spain.

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Netherlands-England has got off to one of the best – if not the best – starts of Euro 2024 when the Netherlands opened the scoring in Dortmund early on in the 7th minute.

Xavi Simons snatched the ball from the English defence as they failed to clear it away and pointed directly towards the goal to fire a banger outside the box into the far post.

England’s team furiously team threw themselves forward in retaliation, playing one of their best games in the tournament so far.

Harry Kane nearly found the equaliser with a skipping shot from the distance, and then tried again with a powerful attempt from inside the box.

The shot went over the bar, but the referee spotted a fault on the England n9 by Dumfries and awarded a penalty.

It was Kane’s turn to have a shot again. After an interminable pause on the penalty spot, he slammed the ball into the low left corner to make it level 1-1 in the 18th minute.

England kept pushing and Dumfries turned into a hero just a few minutes later, when he literally stopped England’s potential 2-1 on the line – after a dazzling slalom-run into the box by Phil Foden.

The Inter Milan defender nearly put the Netherlands back on top in the 30th, when he overjumped the whole English defence to whack a corner-kick header onto the crossbar.

Phil Foden responded only two minutes later with a great shot that hit the far left post, making a similar attempt immediately afterwards, with Dutch goalie Verbruggen promptly palming the ball away. The Man City midfielder was England’s best player in the first half.

The teams slowed down the pace towards the break after pulling off a breathless first 35 minutes.

Compared to previous games so far, England played quickly, cleverly and aggressively.

The Netherlands had the first great chance of the second half. England’s Pickford made an incredible save as Virgil van Dijk hit the ball with his knee from close range after a low-cut cross into the box.

The Three Lions were in the last Euro final, three years ago, but lost to Italy after a shootout on Wembley home soil. If they beat the Dutch, they have another chance to end a 58-year trophy drought, and to win their very first European championship.

The Netherlands already lifted a Euro cup in 1988 but then failed to win more trophies. The closest they got was in the 2010 World Cup final against Spain, which they lost.

Few precedents in history, perfect balance in major tournaments

There were only three previous clashes in major tournaments, with one draw and one victory each. The last one dates back to Euro 96. England were the hosts and routed the Netherlands 4-1 in the group stage.

Netherlands’ only victory was at Euro 88 – hosted by Germany – with a 3-1 win that set the Dutch on course for reaching the final and lifting the trophy.

Taking into account all games – friendlies and Nations League included – England have a far worse record, as they managed to beat the Netherlands only once in the nine previous face-offs, in a 2018 friendly.

Algorithms and odds put even more pressure on England’s highest-valued team

England is the most expensive squad of the tournament, according to Transfermrkt, totalling €1.52bn euro in players’ worth. The Netherlands ranks 6th at €854m, though the estimation also includes Frankie De Jong who’s been injured for the whole tournament.

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According to the OptaAnalys algorithm, England stand a 51.51% chance of progressing through to the final.

As per ninety minutes’ result, Google foresees a 36% victory chance for England over the Netherlands’ 30%, with a 34% possibility of a draw.

The odds reflect the margin between the teams. England are slightly ahead – generally at 17/10 – while the Netherlands’ odds are generally 21/10 for a victory in the ninety minutes.

Despite England looking like having an edge, the game could turn out unpredictable as Southgate’s team hasn’t yet faced a FIFA Top 10 team in the whole tournament.

Furthermore, they struggled against almost all their opponents at Euro 2024, particularly in the knockout phase, with serious troubles at shooting on target.

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Netherlands grows in form, England yet to perform

England limped through to the semis after four consecutive draws in the 90 minutes.

In the round of 16, they narrowly avoided elimination with Slovakia with a late 95th-minute equaliser and then resorted to a penalty shootout to beat Switzerland in the quarter-finals. Earlier on in the group stage, their manager Gareth Southgate was thrown empty beer cups after a draw with Slovenia.

England’s Harry Kane said the “expectation weighed quite heavily” on the team at the beginning of the tournament.

“And of course, the external noise was louder than it’s ever been so I felt we couldn’t quite get ourselves in the right place. In the end, what was impressive was that the players ground it out, they ground results out and found ways to win.”

There’s scrutiny of Harry Kane’s fitness after the England captain went off with cramps in extra time against Switzerland. Ivan Toney came off the bench and scored one of England’s five successful penalties in the shootout.

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The Netherlands got off to a clunky start with a third place in the group behind Austria and France but then lifted themselves up with two convincing victories against Romania and Turkey in the knockouts, the latter achieved with a stunning six-minute comeback.

Dutch manager Ronald Koeman shrugged criticism off: “We often hear things via the media, but we don’t necessarily hear what the country thinks. It could be more positive and more respectful when talking about the coach or about players. I think it’s a worldwide problem.”

Koeman brings back painful memories to the opponent. In 1993, the then-Dutch player scored a goal against England which excluded them from the 1994 World Cup.

The Dutch are pinning their hopes on Liverpool’s Codi Gapko. The 25-year-old forward is the joint Euro 2024 top scorer with three goals, one of which netted in the previous game against Turkey.

Ronald Koeman could keep his lineup unchanged for the third game in a row, with Memphis Depay and Steven Bergwijn up front starting alongside Gakpo.

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On Tuesday, the Dutch endured some travel disruption on the way to Dortmund when their scheduled train journey from Wolfsburg was cancelled because of what the team said was a “blockage” on the line. The squad had to fly instead.

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